Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Lukoil Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Moscow		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.62	7.38
	1.45	4.10	6.00
	1.50	4.38	6.97	Watch
	1.43	4.20	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	6.64 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
64.1%

Draw
21.7%

Rostov
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spartak Moscow - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Rostov (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rostov (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 97. Denisov D. 4. Djiku A. 6. Babic S. 33. Parada V. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Umyarov N. 7. Solari P. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.	84. Petrov A. (G) 87. Langovich A. 40. Ygor Nogueira 27. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 59. Babakin N. 5. Mikhailov Y. 10. Komarov I. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 6. Olusegun O. 99. Suleymanov T.
Substitutes
5. Barco E. 19. Daku M. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I. 3. Wooh C.	11. Ajasa I. M. 73. Aznaurov I. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 80. Madrakhimov K. 16. Mukhin M. 7. Ronaldo 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D. 1. Yatimov R. (G)
Coaches
Carcedo J. C.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Fernandes G. ⚽, Denisov D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Solari P. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Komarov I. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
63', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
66', Marquinhos ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
67', Zobnin R. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
67', Suleymanov T. 🟨,
72', Langovich A. 🟨,
72', Suleymanov T. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
75', Babic S. ↓, Wooh C. ↑,
75', Ugalde M. ↓, Daku M. ↑,
86', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Shantaliy D. ↑,
86', Solari P. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Massalyga N. ⚽, Dmitriev I. (A),
90', Kuchaev K. 🟨,
90+3', Parada V. 🟨,
90+4', Wooh C. 🟨,
90+5', Prokhin D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Spartak M is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Spartak M: Barco E. (Inactive) Litvinov R. (Inactive) Martins C. (Inactive) Zorin D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Rostov: Sako O. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Rostov: Yatimov R. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.08% FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
06.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Rubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTWL
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
05.09.26	Rostov - Fakel	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
12.04.26	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	1:1
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	5:2
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:1
Russian Cup
18.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:2
30.07.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:2
15.05.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:2
Russian Premier League
06.04.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:3

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