Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ozon Arena (Krasnodar)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Krasnodar		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.96	5.23
	1.68	3.85	5.05
	1.68	3.92	5.58	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	5.17 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
56.7%

Draw
24.8%

Rostov
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Krasnodar - Rostov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Krasnodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Krasnodar will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 3. Tormena V. 5. Jubal Junior 15. Olaza L. 53. Chernikov A. 8. Douglas Augusto 18. Christian 10. Vorobyev D. 23. Boselli J. 9. Cordoba J. (C)	84. Petrov A. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 5. Mikhailov Y. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 10. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.
Substitutes
4. Diego Costa 11. Joao Batxi 59. Khmarin A. 96. Koksharov A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 6. Lenini K. 21. Ozdoev M. 17. Paltsev V. 98. Petrov S. 2. Stezhko V. 47. Utkin D.	11. Ajasa I. M. 73. Aznaurov I. 17. Golenkov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 80. Madrakhimov K. 16. Mukhin M. 27. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D.
Coaches
Musaev M.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Jubal Junior ⚽, Christian (A),
27', Sako O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vorobyev D. ↓, Utkin D. ↑,
64', Boselli J. ↓, Joao Batxi ↑,
67', Suleymanov T. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
75', Chernikov A. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
76', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
84', Cordoba J. 🟨,
85', Mikhailov Y. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
85', Kuchaev K. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
87', Melekhin V. 🟨,
87', Olaza L. 🟨,
88', Aznaurov I. 🟨,
90+1', Christian ↓, Petrov S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.

Krasnodar has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rostov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Krasnodar: Krivtsov N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rostov: Chistyakov D. (Knock)

We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:22. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.5:1.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68% FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
23.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWT
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
22.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	3:3
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:1
27.09.25	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:0
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Krasnodar - Rostov	4:2
Russian Premier League
16.03.25	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:1
14.09.24	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Krasnodar - Rostov	3:2

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