Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.78
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.77	3.82	1.86
	3.77	3.82	1.86
	3.76	3.72	1.78
	3.5	3.65	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.78)	3.73 ↓ (3.76)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
25.1%

Draw
24.7%

Fortuna Köln
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 1, Mika M. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ahlen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortuna Köln is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
30.03.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Gütersloh	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTL
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
30.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Gütersloh - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Lippstadt 08 - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
13.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:0
02.12.22	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:1
30.07.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	1:1
30.03.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	0:1
25.08.21	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1
14.04.21	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1
16.12.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Fortuna Köln	0:3

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