Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen, Ostsport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Rot-Weiß Erfurt		Eilenburg

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.95	6.3
	1.39	4.96	6.42
	1.39	4.75	6.42
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.35	4.65	6.86
	1.47	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)	6.23 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
65.7%

Draw
19.6%

Eilenburg
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Eilenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Rot Weiß Erfurt - Eilenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Moritz B. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Ugondu O. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 2 - 1, Kosak C. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Fischer T. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Assibey-Mensah R. ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, Poser N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17).

Rot-Weiß Erfurt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eilenburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eilenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Erfurt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erfurt	11	8	3	0	36:11	25	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.04.26	Meuselwitz - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:3 ✺
15.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Altglienicke	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Berlin II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLW
- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.04.26	Eilenburg - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Altglienicke - Eilenburg	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Eilenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.11.25	Eilenburg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1
07.12.24	Eilenburg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2
27.07.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Eilenburg	2:0
08.03.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Eilenburg	2:2
23.09.23	Eilenburg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:0

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