Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 27

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Ostsport


	Rot-Weiß Erfurt		Hertha Berlin II

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.75
	1.75	4.07	3.84
	1.72	4.17	3.75
	1.73	3.72	3.92
	1.73	3.9	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.95 ↑ (3.78)	3.83 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
52.8%

Draw
23.2%

Hertha Berlin II
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

23.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Hertha Berlin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Rot Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Berlin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Rolke O. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lucas Cini ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Lucas Cini ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Ugondu O. C. ⚽,
39', 3 - 2, Gouram S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 1.

Rot-Weiß Erfurt is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hertha Berlin II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rot-Weiß Erfurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Erfurt is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erfurt	11	8	3	0	36:11	25	27
15	Hertha Berlin II	11	2	3	6	9:21	-12	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
14.03.26	Chemnitzer - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemie Leipzig	2:2 ✺
04.03.26	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Preussen	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Magdeburg II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLW
- Hertha Berlin II
German Regionalliga Nordost
15.03.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hertha Berlin II	4:0 ✺
10.03.26	Hertha Berlin II - Greifswald	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Hertha Berlin II - Preussen	5:0 ✺
03.03.26	Eilenburg - Hertha Berlin II	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Berliner FC Dynamo - Hertha Berlin II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
26.09.25	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:0
21.03.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Berlin II	4:1
20.08.24	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:1
03.05.24	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0
25.11.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Berlin II	0:2
17.03.23	Hertha Berlin II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:2
08.10.22	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Berlin II	2:1

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