The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rot-Weiß Essen 62.6%
Draw 21.4%
Fortuna Köln 16.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.1%
19.4%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
18.5%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Rot Weiß Essen - Fortuna Köln Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 2. Kostka M. 15. Huning B. 23. Alonso J. 19. Bouebari F. 22. Sietan J. 11. Pesch N. 10. Obuz M. 17. Telalovic S. 18. Abiama D. 20. Janssen M.
1. Winkler L. (G) 11. Strauch G. 15. Al-Azzawe D. (C) 5. Funger S. 3. Fischer M. 6. Geerkens T. 31. Telle N. 20. Stanilewicz A. 38. Broger B. 37. Mause J. 30. Aigbekaen R.
Substitutes
32. Bazzoli L. 14. Brumme L. 26. Celebi E. 7. Dardari A. 36. Gnagnon J. 9. Potocnik J. 16. Reisig R. 33. Verstappen E. (G) 35. Wienand F. (G)
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bornemann T. 27. Brechmann K. 14. Harenbrock C. 2. Krumme K. 23. Savic D. 7. Thier N. 9. Wirtz E. 25. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Koschinat U.
Mink M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Telle N. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽, Obuz M. (A),
40', Sietan J. 🟨,
40', Koschinat U. 🟨,
41', Al-Azzawe D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Telle N. ↓, Thier N. ↑,
59', Mause J. ↓, Wirtz E. ↑,
72', Janssen M. ↓, Potocnik J. ↑,
72', Abiama D. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
76', Broger B. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
76', Aigbekaen R. ↓, Al Ghaddioui H. ↑,
80', Obuz M. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
80', Pesch N. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Potocnik J. ⚽, Telalovic S. (A),
84', Geerkens T. ↓, Bornemann T. ↑,
88', Telalovic S. ↓, Bazzoli L. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3.
Rot-Weiß Essen has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fortuna Köln has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fortuna Köln may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Rot-Weiß Essen carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Rot-Weiß Essen in today's match, at odds of 1.49.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rot-Weiß Essen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).
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Golz J. (C) 
Kostka M. 
Bouebari F. 
Pesch N. 
Abiama D. 
Al-Azzawe D. (C) 
Dardari A. 
Potocnik J. 
Verstappen E. (G) 
Al Ghaddioui H. 
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