Match Info

3. Liga - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.45	Watch
	2.04	3.74	3.64
	1.9	3.8	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	1.91	3.62	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.66	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)	3.6 ↓ (3.89)	3.52 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
47.9%

Draw
25.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Rot Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 15. Huning B. 2. Kostka M. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 14. Brumme L. 16. Reisig R. 7. Safi R. 20. Janssen M.	31. Brdar N. (G) 27. Gillekens J. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 8. Bogicevic D. 11. Gozusirin T. 5. May N. 28. Flotho M. 29. Kaya F. 37. Schleimer L.
Substitutes
6. Arslan A. 19. Bouebari F. 18. Kaiser N. 29. Mause J. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 22. Schmidt D. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	45. Ati Allah I. 30. Broll K. (G) 6. Fechner G. 18. Greilinger F. 20. Johansson R. 10. Kalem R. 22. Nejad M. 24. Neubert T. 21. Wohlers O.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Scherning D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Gillekens J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽, Kostka M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Janssen M. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
56', Kostka M. 🟨,
60', Hubner F. 🟨,
70', Schleimer L. ↓, Johansson R. ↑,
70', Mockenhaupt S. ↓, Wohlers O. ↑,
70', May N. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
71', Brumme L. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Kaya F. ⚽,
78', Schultz M. 🟨,
81', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
81', Musel T. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
85', Bogicevic D. ↓, Fechner G. ↑,
90+2', Kostka M. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
90+2', Kaya F. ↓, Neubert T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Wehen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

RW Essen: 12.58% Wehen: 1.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
16	Wehen	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	1860 München - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWTT
- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
25.01.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Hoffenheim II - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:4
15.02.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3
14.09.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:3
25.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3
02.10.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:1

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