Match Info

3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Nather M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Verl

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.35	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.68	3.96	1.92
	3.32	3.83	1.97	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.59	3.79	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.87)	3.72 ↑ (3.57)	1.93 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
27.1%

Draw
24.9%

Verl
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wehen Wiesbaden's form might have worsened.

Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Verl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Verl will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Verl (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Verl (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verl (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brdar N. (G) 4. Mockenhaupt S. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 24. Neubert T. 8. Bogicevic D. 11. Gozusirin T. 5. May N. 37. Schleimer L. 29. Kaya F. 25. Agrafiotis N.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 34. Otto F. 19. Kijewski N. 8. Waidner D. 30. Gayret T. 10. Taz B. 6. Eze J. 28. Otto Y. 23. Besio A.
Substitutes
45. Ati Allah I. 30. Broll K. (G) 6. Fechner G. 28. Flotho M. 18. Greilinger F. 10. Kalem R. 26. Lewald J. 22. Nejad M. 21. Wohlers O.	2. Araoye R. 9. Arweiler J. 26. Foti A. 12. Fuest J. (G) 21. Knost T. 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M. 18. Wessig F. 11. Worner M.
Coaches
Scherning D.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', May N. 🟨,
17', Kaya F. 🟨,
19', Agrafiotis N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Agrafiotis N. ⚽, Mockenhaupt S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Otto Y. 🟨,
56', Otto Y. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
65', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Flotho M. ↑,
65', Kaya F. ↓, Kalem R. ↑,
73', Eze J. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
74', Mhamdi O. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
76', Schleimer L. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Flotho M. ⚽, Greilinger F. (A),
82', 2 - 1, Arweiler J. ⚽, Taz B. (A),
83', Mockenhaupt S. 🟨,
84', Besio A. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
88', May N. ↓, Fechner G. ↑,
88', Neubert T. ↓, Ati Allah I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Wehen has had a series of away games.

Verl could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Verl: 0.95% Wehen: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10
19	Wehen	7	1	2	4	5:13	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Wehen Wiesbaden - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Verl - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Hoffenheim II - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLWW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Bonner - Verl	0:5 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	1860 München - Verl	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	TSV Havelse - Verl	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2
18.01.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	0:1
03.08.24	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2
13.05.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1
12.11.22	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1
30.04.22	Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:0
27.11.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	0:0

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