Match Info

3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Rupert Y. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 12
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.48	Watch
	2.54	3.64	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.48	3.65	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.62)	3.52 ↓ (3.63)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
37.1%

Draw
26.2%

Wehen Wiesbaden
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ulm 1846 - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmitt M. (G) 19. Meier J. 18. Bazzoli L. 3. Vukancic N. 32. Kolle N. 20. Pepic M. 14. Dressel D. 11. Chessa D. 23. Brandt M. 43. Dajaku L. 9. Roser L.	31. Brdar N. (G) 27. Gillekens J. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 8. Bogicevic D. 6. Fechner G. 5. May N. 29. Kaya F. 28. Flotho M. 37. Schleimer L.
Substitutes
7. Aksakal E. 34. Boller J. 26. El-Zein A. 25. Loder E. 45. Mamba S. 27. Mazagg L. 39. Ortag C. (G) 30. Vater F.	25. Agrafiotis N. 30. Broll K. (G) 11. Gozusirin T. 18. Greilinger F. 20. Johansson R. 10. Kalem R. 22. Nejad M. 24. Neubert T. 21. Wohlers O.
Coaches
Dotchev P.	Scherning D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Fechner G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fechner G. ↓, Gozusirin T. ↑,
46', Flotho M. ↓, Johansson R. ↑,
46', Vukancic N. ↓, Mazagg L. ↑,
50', Brandt M. 🟨,
62', Schleimer L. ↓, Kalem R. ↑,
74', Kaya F. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
74', Kalem R. 🟨,
77', Roser L. ↓, Loder E. ↑,
77', Brandt M. ↓, El-Zein A. ↑,
79', Mazagg L. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Bogicevic D. ⚽, Gozusirin T. (A),
83', Dajaku L. 🟨,
83', Gillekens J. 🟨,
88', May N. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
90+1', Brdar N. 🟨,
90+4', Meier J. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
90+4', Dressel D. ↓, Mamba S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ulm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wehen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Wehen	7	1	2	4	5:13	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Ulm 1846 - Bonner	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück	3:5 ✺
06.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- Wehen Wiesbaden
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Hoffenheim II - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ulm 1846	3:1

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