Match Info

3. Liga - Round 17

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		VfB Stuttgart II

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.4
	1.91	4.01	3.84
	1.81	4.14	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.83	3.64	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
49.8%

Draw
24.4%

VfB Stuttgart II
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Rot Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Stuttgart II (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rot-Weiß Essen will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stuttgart II (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Wienand F. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 33. Kraulich T. 14. Brumme L. 28. Moustier T. 26. Musel T. 7. Safi R. 8. Gjasula K. (C) 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.	1. Hellstern F. (G) 35. Gluck M. 4. Herwerth M. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 16. Meyer L. 8. Di Benedetto S. 24. Olivier C. 7. Penna L. 10. Sessa N. 31. Darvich N. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.
Substitutes
6. Arslan A. 19. Bouebari F. 25. Bruning M. (G) 37. Hofmann J. 20. Janssen M. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 4. Schultz M. 39. Swajkowski G.	2. Amaniampong K. 6. Groiss A. 13. Kohler T. 11. Korkut E. 18. Luers J. 17. Nankishi A. 44. Sankoh M. 23. Spalt Y. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Willig N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Darvich N. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
44', Gluck M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kostka M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
62', Sessa N. 🟨,
67', Musel T. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
68', Sessa N. ↓, Luers J. ↑,
68', Olivier C. ↓, Amaniampong K. ↑,
74', Ouro-Tagba M. ↓, Sankoh M. ↑,
74', Gluck M. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
76', Meyer L. 🟨,
78', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
78', Mause J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Sankoh M. ⚽,
85', Brumme L. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
88', Arslan A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 1 - 1, Janssen M. ⚽, Mizuta K. (A),
90', Sankoh M. 🟨,
90+1', Groiss A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

Rot-Weiß Essen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stuttgart II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rot-Weiß Essen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

VfB Stuttgart II - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWT
- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
30.11.25	VfB Stuttgart II - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Ulm 1846 - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Jahn Regensburg - VfB Stuttgart II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.05.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
21.12.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2

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