Match Info

3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport, SWR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.6	4.15	4.65
	1.6	4.42	4.95
	1.61	4.24	4.69	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.58	3.98	4.66	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	4.08 ↓ (4.14)	4.53 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
57%

Draw
22.6%

Ulm 1846
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Rot Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ulm (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 8. Gjasula K. (C) 28. Moustier T. 19. Bouebari F. 26. Musel T. 20. Janssen M. 24. Mizuta K.	39. Ortag C. (G) 19. Meier J. 21. Seegert M. 27. Mazagg L. 32. Kolle N. 14. Dressel D. (C) 20. Pepic M. 11. Chessa D. 25. Loder E. 43. Dajaku L. 17. Besong P.
Substitutes
6. Arslan A. 14. Brumme L. 2. Kostka M. 29. Mause J. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 7. Safi R. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	7. Aksakal E. 34. Boller J. 31. Ehe B. 4. Etse J. . Mrden M. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 28. Scholze M. 8. Westermeier B. . Williams D.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Dotchev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Gjasula K. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
26', Seegert M. ↓, Boller J. ↑,
32', 2 - 1, Kolle N. ⚽, Dajaku L. (A),
38', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 2, Loder E. ⚽, Chessa D. (A),
62', 3 - 2, Mizuta K. ⚽,
68', Janssen M. 🟨,
68', Janssen M. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
73', Dajaku L. ↓, Aksakal E. ↑,
73', Besong P. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
73', Mizuta K. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
73', Musel T. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
81', Aksakal E. 🟨,
81', Mause J. 🟨,
81', Gjasula K. 🟨,
83', Kolle N. 🟨,
84', Moustier T. ↓, Swajkowski G. ↑,
87', Pepic M. ↓, Etse J. ↑,
87', Chessa D. ↓, Scholze M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Rot-Weiß Essen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ulm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rot-Weiß Essen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLW
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
12.12.25	Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück	3:5 ✺
06.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	0:2
24.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1

Upcoming Matches