Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Rot-Weiß Ahlen		Bonner

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.4	2.38
	2.7	3.3	2.42
	2.81	3.3	2.46
	2.6	3.3	2.35
	2.77	3.45	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
34.4%

Draw
27.2%

Bonner
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bonner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Rot Weiß Ahlen - Bonner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ahlen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bonner is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ahlen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ahlen have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ahlen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
30.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Rödinghausen	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
13.04.22	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04 II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTW
- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
30.04.22	Lippstadt 08 - Bonner	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Bonner - Rödinghausen	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Schalke 04 II - Bonner	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Bonner - Wegberg-Beeck	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Preußen Münster - Bonner	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
27.11.21	Bonner - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2
27.02.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bonner	1:2
03.10.20	Bonner - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:2
18.02.17	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Bonner	1:1
14.08.16	Bonner - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:1

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