Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.85	3.6	3.8
	1.72	3.8	4.1
	1.85	3.55	3.85
	1.88	3.89	4.06
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.84	3.74	3.78	Watch
	1.83	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.58)	3.63 ↓ (4.31)	3.89 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
50.6%

Draw
25.5%

Bayreuth
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Essen's form might have worsened.

Bayreuth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayreuth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayreuth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Rot Weiß Essen - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bayreuth will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bayreuth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rot-Weiß Essen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
13.02.23	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
27.01.23	Elversberg - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.23	Bayreuth - Zwickau	5:3 ✺
18.02.23	Osnabrück - Bayreuth	2:3 ✺
12.02.23	Bayreuth - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
03.02.23	Freiburg II - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Bayreuth - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.08.22	Bayreuth - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1

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