Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Germany	Laola1, RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rot-Weiß Essen		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.20	3.70	2.10
	3.2	3.6	2.12
	3.4	3.79	2.12
	3.16	3.62	2.12	Watch
	3.35	3.75	2.01
	3.51	3.54	2.06	Watch
	3.15	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.78)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	2.08 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
28.7%

Draw
26%

St. Pauli
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Essen's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Rot Weiß Essen - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 37. Hofmann J. 15. Huning B. 6. Geschwill M. 19. Bouebari F. 22. Sietan J. 8. Menzel T. 10. Obuz M. 17. Telalovic S. 11. Pesch N. 20. Janssen M.	1. Voll B. (G) 4. Nemeth D. (C) 6. Mathisen M. 15. Ando T. 11. Pyrka A. 20. Rasmussen M. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 10. Hrgota B. 19. Kaars M. 18. Hara T.
Substitutes
18. Abiama D. 23. Alonso J. 32. Bazzoli L. 14. Brumme L. 26. Celebi E. 7. Dardari A. 9. Potocnik J. 16. Reisig R. 35. Wienand F. (G)	14. Ahlstrand E. 17. Banks S. 25. Dzwigala A. 26. Jones R.J. 22. Klein S. 24. Metcalfe C. 33. Mitov D. (G) 21. Ritzka L. 8. Smith E.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Pyrka A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Janssen M. ⚽, Obuz M. (A),
44', Menzel T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Telalovic S. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
60', Fujita J. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
65', Hara T. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
70', Rasmussen M. ↓, Smith E. ↑,
72', Janssen M. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
72', Pesch N. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
77', Telalovic S. 🟨,
77', Oppie L. ↓, Ahlstrand E. ↑,
77', Kaars M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
80', Telalovic S. ↓, Potocnik J. ↑,
80', Obuz M. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
89', Menzel T. ↓, Bazzoli L. ↑,
90+1', Mathisen M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

St. Pauli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

St. Pauli - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLW
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	St. Pauli - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Bournemouth - St. Pauli	4:1 ✺
19.07.26	St. Pauli - Gorica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLW

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