Match Info

3. Liga - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3
	2.13	3.75	3.07
	1.97	3.59	3.44	Watch
	2.19	3.54	3.03	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.95)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
44.6%

Draw
26%

Energie Cottbus
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Rot Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Cottbus will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cottbus (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Cottbus (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cottbus (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 33. Kraulich T. 14. Brumme L. 8. Gjasula K. 26. Musel T. 10. Obuz M. 6. Arslan A. (C) 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.	33. Funk M. (G) 44. Straudi S. 4. Campulka T. 2. Manu K. S. 21. Guwara L. 10. Cigerci T. 5. Pelivan D. 20. Borgmann A. (C) 11. Hannemann M. 18. Engelhardt E. 31. Butler J.
Substitutes
19. Bouebari F. 37. Hofmann J. 20. Janssen M. 28. Moustier T. 30. Owusu K. 7. Safi R. 4. Schultz M. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)	23. Awortwie-Grant N. 19. Boziaris J. 32. Heidrich F. 24. Lucoqui A. 8. Michelbrink L. 14. Schubart F. 1. Sebald A. (G) 27. Slamar D. 7. Thiele T.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cigerci T. (Pen),
30', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Butler J. ⚽, Borgmann A. (A),
59', Kostka M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
59', Arslan A. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
59', Obuz M. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
60', Guwara L. ↓, Lucoqui A. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Mause J. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
63', Manu K. S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 3, Engelhardt E. ⚽,
70', Butler J. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
70', Hannemann M. ↓, Awortwie-Grant N. ↑,
74', Mizuta K. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
81', Engelhardt E. ↓, Michelbrink L. ↑,
81', Brumme L. ↓, Moustier T. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Moustier T. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Rot-Weiß Essen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cottbus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rot-Weiß Essen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWT
- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Energie Cottbus - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	1860 München - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Energie Cottbus - TSV Havelse	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ulm 1846 - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.25	Energie Cottbus - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1
02.11.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	4:0

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