Match Info

3. Liga - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Referee: Nather M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball


	VfB Stuttgart II		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4.55	5.3
	1.53	4.71	5.41
	1.57	4.42	4.70	Watch
	1.45	4.33	5.58	Watch
	1.5	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.48 ↑ (4.42)	5.21 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfB Stuttgart II
61.6%

Draw
20.7%

TSV Havelse
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

20.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfB Stuttgart II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

VfB Stuttgart II - TSV Havelse Predictions

Users Predictions: VfB Stuttgart II will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hellstern F. (G) 35. Gluck M. 4. Herwerth M. 29. Nothnagel D. (C) 16. Meyer L. 8. Di Benedetto S. 5. Catovic M. 7. Penna L. 10. Sessa N. 31. Darvich N. 27. Ouro-Tagba M.	40. Busse J. (G) 5. Minz D. 6. Belkahia S. 4. Kolgeci B. 22. Sommer L. 8. Berger J. 10. Duker J. (C) 7. Aytun E. 19. Boujellab N. 14. Ilic M. 9. Paldino L.
Substitutes
19. Fressle K. 6. Groiss A. 11. Korkut E. 18. Luers J. 17. Nankishi A. 24. Olivier C. 44. Sankoh M. 23. Spalt Y. 33. von der Felsen J. (G)	21. Behrens I. 35. Dlugaiczyk A. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 11. Jaeschke Y. 23. Muller R. 17. Posselt J. X. 33. Rexhepi A. 39. Riedel F. 28. Rufidis J.
Coaches
Willig N.	Ferchichi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Sessa N. ⚽, Meyer L. (A),
39', Boujellab N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paldino L. ↓, Posselt J. X. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Ouro-Tagba M. ⚽, Sessa N. (A),
61', Penna L. ↓, Korkut E. ↑,
61', Sessa N. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
61', Aytun E. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Muller R. (A),
72', Boujellab N. ↓, Rexhepi A. ↑,
72', Ilic M. ↓, Riedel F. ↑,
76', Ouro-Tagba M. 🟨,
81', Gluck M. ↓, Groiss A. ↑,
81', Meyer L. ↓, Olivier C. ↑,
85', Berger J. 🟨,
85', Minz D. ↓, Jaeschke Y. ↑,
86', Sommer L. 🟨,
87', Di Benedetto S. 🟨,
90', Di Benedetto S. ↓, Luers J. ↑,
90', Spalt Y. 🟨,
90+2', Herwerth M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Havelse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart II is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart II
German 3 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Ulm 1846 - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Jahn Regensburg - VfB Stuttgart II	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Schweinfurt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW
- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
22.11.25	TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Gütersloh - TSV Havelse	1:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	TSV Havelse - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Energie Cottbus - TSV Havelse	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTLL

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