Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Rotlet Molinar		Formentera

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.88
	3.39	3.89	1.88
	3.69	4.03	1.76	Watch
	3.79	3.42	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.34)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotlet Molinar
25.5%

Draw
25.2%

Formentera
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

25.8%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotlet Molinar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotlet Molinar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Rotlet Molinar - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
55', 0 - 4, ⚽,
67', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Rotlet Molinar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Formentera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rotlet Molinar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Formentera is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rotlet Molinar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Formentera	5	2	2	1	7:4	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rotlet Molinar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.03.26	Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Inter Ibiza - Rotlet Molinar	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Rotlet Molinar - Llosetense	1:4 ✺
22.02.26	Cardassar - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Rotlet Molinar - Manacor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
08.03.26	Formentera - Collerense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Platges de Calvià - Formentera	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Santanyí - Formentera	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Formentera - Son Cladera	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alcúdia - Formentera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.11.25	Formentera - Rotlet Molinar	1:0

Rotlet Molinar - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide