Match Info

FNL - Round 29

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Rotor		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.07	4.05
	2.08	3.04	3.99	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	4.25 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
47.2%

Draw
30.6%

Tyumen
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

29.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

30.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-3%)

Rotor - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 3. Shvetsov M. 11. Kleshchenko A. 28. Semenov A. 19. Plotnikov N. 21. Makarov S. (C) 12. Prishchepa D. 27. Pliev Z. 57. Bolotov E. 44. Kukharchuk I. 7. Safronov I.	1. Dovgal A. (G) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 34. Khramtsov M. 30. Shavlokhov D. 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Poroykov S. 85. Pyatkin I. 17. Shitov V. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 65. Gulko I.
Substitutes
1. Averkiev V. (G) 2. Dudkin K. 23. Lavrishchev D. 24. Maltsev M. 9. Morozov V. 17. Shilnikov G. 5. Shumskikh A. 10. Sokolov I. 97. Talikin D. 90. Turishchev M. 18. Tyurin V. 6. Zavezen Y.	72. Bem A. 97. Goshev E. (G) 11. Karpov D. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 10. Savinov A. 14. Shukurov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Semenov A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Safronov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Bezchasnyuk A. 🟨,
60', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
60', Makarov S. ↓, Maltsev M. ↑,
61', Shitov V. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
67', Gulko I. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
67', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
68', Shvetsov M. 🟨,
71', Plotnikov N. ↓, Zavezen Y. ↑,
71', Shvetsov M. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Tkachuk D. ⚽,
83', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
84', Khramtsov M. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
89', Safronov I. ↓, Shumskikh A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tyumen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.

In this match Rotor is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
13.04.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rotor	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rotor - Sokol Saratov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLLT
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
12.04.25	Tyumen - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tyumen - Ufa	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	KAMAZ - Tyumen	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.08.24	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1
11.05.19	Rotor - Tyumen	2:1
24.10.18	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1
12.11.17	Rotor - Tyumen	1:2
30.07.17	Tyumen - Rotor	1:1

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