Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Tyumen		Ufa

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	3.34	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.53)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.22 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
39.6%

Draw
32.1%

Ufa
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Tyumen - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovgal A. (G) 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 30. Shavlokhov D. 85. Pyatkin I. 24. Korotaev A. 5. Poroykov S. 17. Shitov V. 34. Khramtsov M. 10. Savinov A.	1. Baklov O. (G) 4. Kornyushin D. 45. Tenyaev A. 5. Kutin D. 7. Perchenok A. 15. Bocherov V. 27. Anisimov A. 88. Ageyan M. 21. Matskharashvili N. 18. Gurenko A. 72. Mullin K.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 97. Goshev E. (G) 18. Grigorjev D. 65. Gulko I. 11. Karpov D. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 14. Shukurov A. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	44. Akhmedzhanov A. 77. Chernyak I. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 62. Karpov V. 11. Lozhkin V. 17. Ozmanov D. 23. Saitgareev R. (G) 31. Svinov I. (G) 79. Troyanov K.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Tetradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 🟨,
14', Bocherov V. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Bocherov V. ⚽,
40', Pechenkin N. 🟨,
44', Shitov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Poroykov S. ↓, Gulko I. ↑,
65', Bezchasnyuk A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
66', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
69', Anisimov A. 🟨,
71', Gurenko A. 🟨,
74', Anisimov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
76', Savinov A. ↓, Shukurov A. ↑,
76', Pyatkin I. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
78', Mullin K. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
78', Ageyan M. ↓, Gystarov R. ↑,
82', Shitov V. ↓, Karpov D. ↑,
86', Baklov O. 🟨,
90+3', Shukurov A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Gulko I. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Tyumen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ufa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tyumen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
29.03.25	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	KAMAZ - Tyumen	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tyumen	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rodina Moscow - Tyumen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWLTW
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
29.03.25	KAMAZ - Ufa	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:6 ✺
15.03.25	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ufa	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.08.24	Ufa - Tyumen	2:2

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