Match Info

FNL - Round 30

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Naboka D. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Rotor		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.86	3.12	2.76
	2.75	3.05	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.26)	3.09 ↑ (2.82)	2.71 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
33.9%

Draw
30.9%

Rodina Moscow
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

33.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

34.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Rotor - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 73. Aznaurov I. 80. Bardybakhin V. 15. Danilkin E. 77. Eldarushev A. 2. Korotkov A. 8. Makarov A. 6. Makarov S. (C) 97. Pokidyshev N. 10. Simonyan A. 5. Troshechkin A.	13. Volkov S. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 49. Dyatlov I. 6. Fishchenko R. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 38. Musaev L. 10. Reyna Y. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I.
Substitutes
22. Aliev S. 44. Dadic T. 9. Davidyan D. 37. Fomin D. 18. Kaynov M. 70. Khokhlachev A. 34. Khramtsov M. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 69. Rodionov I. 7. Safronov I. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 90. Tsipushtanov M.	18. Abdusalamov M. 7. Arce S. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Cissoko K. 5. Egorychev A. 96. Gharibyan A. 3. Goglichidze L. 77. Koryan A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Parfenov D.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Pokidyshev N. 🟨,
42', Danilkin E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maksimenko A. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
46', Musaev L. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
59', Sokol A. 🟨,
59', Simonyan A. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑,
59', Aznaurov I. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
59', Eldarushev A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
64', Aliev S. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Aliev S. ⚽,
81', Fishchenko R. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
81', Sokol A. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
81', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
85', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Davidyan D. ⚽,
90+6', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

R. Volgograd: 1.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17

Last Results with these Odds

Rotor - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
18.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rotor - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor	1:4 ✺
20.03.26	Rotor - Fakel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
18.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
26.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	0:0
30.03.25	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	0:1
26.08.24	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	2:2
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.20	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	6:0

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