Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Relegation - Final

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)


	Royal Pari		Real Oruro

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.38	4.2	6.5
	1.39	4.5	7.2	Watch
	1.38	4.47	7.17
	1.44	4.31	7.27	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.7	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)	4.4 ↑ (3.81)	7.15 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Pari
66.2%

Draw
20.9%

Real Oruro
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royal Pari's performance.

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Oruro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royal Pari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oruro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Royal Pari - Real Oruro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 29. Padilha Hallysson 23. Quinones Y. 3. Moriceau T. 32. Zurita A. 7. Thiago 24. Padilla C. 18. Justiniano S. 30. Flores J. 9. Matheus Alves	40. Carvajal J. (G) 3. Medrano J. 8. Velasco W. 15. Balderrama R. 5. Chavez A. 19. Ayala A. 7. Bravo Adan A. F. 22. Vargas R. 34. Alessandrini A. 30. Gustavo Oliveira 23. Villegas Y.
Substitutes
17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 11. Jaquez J. M. 8. Moreno A. 1. Pena I. (G) 87. Pena S. 27. Perez J. 12. Ribera J. 19. Suarez F. 91. Ubah B. 28. Velasco L.	27. Garcia R. 25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 35. Moises S. 21. Moreira P. 10. Ojeda F. 31. Segovia H. 37. Tenorio Y. 28. Terrazas J. 6. Thomas J. 24. Trazie K. 32. Villegas D.
Coaches
de la Torre D.	Gomez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gil S. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Zurita A. ⚽,
20', Medrano J. 🟨,
23', 3 - 0, Matheus Alves ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Alves ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
46', Padilla C. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
55', Vargas R. ↓, Tenorio Y. ↑,
55', Chavez A. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Moreno A. ⚽, Moriceau T. (A),
69', Justiniano S. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
69', Zurita A. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
70', Medrano J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
71', Ayala A. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
77', Velasco W. ↓, Moises R. ↑,
82', Padilha Hallysson 🟨,
90', Flores J. ↓, Velasco L. ↑,
90+1', Velasco L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Royal Pari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Royal Pari is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.12.24	Royal Pari - GVCD San José	3:1 ✺
17.12.24	Guabirá - Royal Pari	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Royal Pari - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
11.12.24	Aurora - Royal Pari	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTLWL
- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
01.12.24	ABB - Real Oruro	3:0 ✺
28.11.24	Real Oruro - ABB	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Universitario de Sucre - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Real Oruro - Universitario de Sucre	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	CDN Santa Cruz - Real Oruro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWTL

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