Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 26

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Referee: Mendoza G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Real Tomayapo		Royal Pari

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.92	3.5	3.65	Watch
	2	3.45	3.77
	1.99	3.38	3.76	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.89	3.52	3.72	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.41)	3.44 ↓ (4.38)	3.67 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
47.9%

Draw
26.9%

Royal Pari
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.2%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

13.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.

Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Royal Pari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Tomayapo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 33. Mamani K. 5. Corulo L. 30. Villamil J. 15. Orellana J. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 12. Tomianovic M. 6. Villamil S. 22. Alcaraz A. 19. Pinto D. 29. Graneros A.	13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 29. Padilha Hallysson 23. Quinones Y. 3. Moriceau T. 12. Ribera J. 8. Moreno A. 24. Padilla C. 30. Flores J. 18. Justiniano S. 7. Thiago
Substitutes
20. Aguilar F. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 8. Arano C. P. 37. Cardan M. 3. Carrasco J. 38. Cuiza S. 17. Figueroa L. 13. Ibanez J. 26. Lima R. 4. Maldonado D. 32. Mendez R. 24. Sandoval S.	77. Adolfo E. 17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 1. Pena I. (G) 27. Perez J. 91. Ubah B. 32. Zurita A.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	de la Torre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mamani K. 🟨,
45+1', Padilla C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mamani K. ↓, Cuiza S. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Corulo L. (Pen),
58', Justiniano S. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
58', Moreno A. ↓, Adolfo E. ↑,
62', Tomianovic M. 🟨,
62', Tomianovic M. ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
68', Villamil J. 🟨,
75', Ribera J. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
75', Padilla C. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
77', Adolfo E. 🟨,
77', Flores J. 🟨,
77', Cuiza S. 🟨,
84', Moriceau T. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
86', Thiago 🟨,
86', Orellana J. 🟨,
90+2', Pinto D. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
90+7', Orellana J. 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 2.

Tomayapo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Royal Pari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tomayapo is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Tomayapo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.12.24	Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWT
- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.12.24	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Bolívar - Royal Pari	5:0 ✺
27.11.24	Royal Pari - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Royal Pari - Jorge Wilstermann	0:1 ✺
21.11.24	Always Ready - Royal Pari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.08.24	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	0:2
08.03.24	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	1:1
26.02.24	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	0:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.10.23	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	1:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.07.23	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	1:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.07.23	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	3:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.02.23	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	0:2

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