The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Tomayapo 47.9%
Draw 26.9%
Royal Pari 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.7%
21.2%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
19.4%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Royal Pari's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 33. Mamani K. 5. Corulo L. 30. Villamil J. 15. Orellana J. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 12. Tomianovic M. 6. Villamil S. 22. Alcaraz A. 19. Pinto D. 29. Graneros A.
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 29. Padilha Hallysson 23. Quinones Y. 3. Moriceau T. 12. Ribera J. 8. Moreno A. 24. Padilla C. 30. Flores J. 18. Justiniano S. 7. Thiago
Substitutes
20. Aguilar F. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 8. Arano C. P. 37. Cardan M. 3. Carrasco J. 38. Cuiza S. 17. Figueroa L. 13. Ibanez J. 26. Lima R. 4. Maldonado D. 32. Mendez R. 24. Sandoval S.
77. Adolfo E. 17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 1. Pena I. (G) 27. Perez J. 91. Ubah B. 32. Zurita A.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.
de la Torre D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mamani K. 🟨,
45+1', Padilla C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mamani K. ↓, Cuiza S. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Corulo L. (Pen),
58', Justiniano S. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
58', Moreno A. ↓, Adolfo E. ↑,
62', Tomianovic M. 🟨,
62', Tomianovic M. ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
68', Villamil J. 🟨,
75', Ribera J. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
75', Padilla C. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
77', Adolfo E. 🟨,
77', Flores J. 🟨,
77', Cuiza S. 🟨,
84', Moriceau T. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
86', Thiago 🟨,
86', Orellana J. 🟨,
90+2', Pinto D. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
90+7', Orellana J. 🟥,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 2.
Tomayapo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Royal Pari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Tomayapo is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Tomayapo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).