Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 29

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Referee: Condori C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1


	Guabirá		Royal Pari

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.09	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.65
	2.09	3.28	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.38	3.55	Watch
	2.09	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	3.45 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
45.2%

Draw
28.1%

Royal Pari
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.

Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Royal Pari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Royal Pari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Guabirá - Royal Pari Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Royal Pari will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferrel M. (G) 3. Supayabe F. 21. Portillo M. 6. Zazpe L. 19. Velasco J. 7. Peredo G. 8. Melean A. (C) 33. Hurtado Badani L. E. 23. Lovera J. 99. Pedro 11. Melgar S.	13. Mendez D. (G) 29. Padilha Hallysson 23. Quinones Y. 18. Justiniano S. 72. Gil S. 77. Adolfo E. 7. Thiago (C) 3. Moriceau T. 9. Matheus Alves 30. Flores J. 24. Padilla C.
Substitutes
26. Arce S. 25. Cuellar J. (G) 35. Da Silva Moreno D. 18. Ferrufino J. 14. Herrera J. 2. Hurtado D. 29. Masskooni N. 20. Montenegro J. 95. Orozco Quiroga J. N. 24. Parada J. 4. Roca D.	17. Bonilla M. 5. Crescencio L. 11. Jaquez J. M. 8. Moreno A. 1. Pena I. (G) 87. Pena S. 27. Perez J. 12. Ribera J. 19. Suarez F. 91. Ubah B. 28. Velasco L. 32. Zurita A.
Coaches
Andrada V.	de la Torre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Moriceau T. 🟨,
28', Quinones Y. 🟨,
30', de la Torre D. 🟨,
30', de la Torre D. 🟨,
42', Gil S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Zazpe L. 🟨,
52', Moriceau T. 🟨,
54', Adolfo E. 🟨,
55', Melgar S. 🟨,
58', Justiniano S. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
58', Padilla C. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
58', Adolfo E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
64', Melgar S. ↓, Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↑,
68', Flores J. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
72', Melean A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
79', Peredo G. 🟨,
79', Peredo G. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
80', Gil S. ↓, Jaquez J. M. ↑,
82', Ribera J. 🟨,
83', Thiago 🟨,
90+5', Ferrel M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Royal Pari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guabirá will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:33 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Guabirá won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:13 (average 2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.12.24	Blooming - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
07.12.24	Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
02.12.24	Guabirá - Always Ready	1:3 ✺
29.11.24	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLL
- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.12.24	Royal Pari - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
11.12.24	Aurora - Royal Pari	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Royal Pari - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Bolívar - Royal Pari	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.24	Royal Pari - Guabirá	3:3
13.08.23	Royal Pari - Guabirá	4:1
11.03.23	Guabirá - Royal Pari	3:2
15.10.22	Royal Pari - Guabirá	3:2
06.08.22	Guabirá - Royal Pari	1:0
06.05.22	Royal Pari - Guabirá	1:3
20.03.22	Guabirá - Royal Pari	0:3

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