Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Royal Pari		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.64	4.59
	1.75	3.62	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.68	4.51	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	3.58 ↓ (4.17)	4.59 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Pari
53.9%

Draw
25.9%

Real Santa Cruz
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Pari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Royal Pari's form might have worsened.

Real Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Royal Pari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Royal Pari - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 23. Quinones Y. 5. Crescencio L. 3. Moriceau T. 7. Thiago 12. Ribera J. 9. Matheus Alves 24. Padilla C. 77. Adolfo E. 91. Ubah B.	1. Zamora D. (G) 4. Lopez B. 19. Ribera O. 2. Ruano L. 41. Navarro S. 37. Mendoza G. 23. Pozo S. 18. Mercado A. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 29. Abastoflor C. 44. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
17. Bonilla M. 6. Flores D. 30. Flores J. 55. Hurtado I. (G) 18. Justiniano S. 8. Moreno A. 29. Padilha Hallysson 87. Pena S. 27. Perez J. 19. Suarez F. 28. Velasco L. 32. Zurita A.	26. Barrios M. 5. Coplot L. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 39. Malgor G. 22. Montero E. 7. Moreno B. 11. Navia A. 6. Ovando M. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 21. Saldias L.
Coaches
Leitao T.	Straccia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Quinones Y. 🟨,
18', Pozo S. 🟨,
32', Mendoza G. 🟨,
41', Moriceau T. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
45', Quinones Y. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Abastoflor C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Padilla C. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
46', Ubah B. ↓, Padilha Hallysson ↑,
46', Mendoza G. ↓, Rueda Bascope S. ↑,
59', Lopez B. 🟨,
67', Mercado A. 🟨,
67', Vaca Hurtado E. ↓, Ovando M. ↑,
70', Rueda Bascope S. 🟨,
70', Ribera J. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
76', Abastoflor C. 🟨,
76', Crescencio L. 🟨,
77', Abastoflor C. ↓, Malgor G. ↑,
79', Crescencio L. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,
86', Gonzalez E. ↓, Saldias L. ↑,
86', Mercado A. ↓, Moreno B. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Saldias L. ⚽,
90+1', Justiniano S. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 0.

Recent matches Royal Pari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Royal Pari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Royal Pari is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.10.24	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	Royal Pari - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Royal Pari - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	GVCD San José - Royal Pari	3:0 ✺
12.09.24	Royal Pari - Guabirá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLT
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.10.24	Real Santa Cruz - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	GVCD San José - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
01.10.24	Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí	2:4 ✺
26.09.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
01.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:1
06.08.23	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:0
04.03.23	Royal Pari - Real Santa Cruz	1:1
23.08.22	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	2:1
18.09.21	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	2:1
09.04.21	Royal Pari - Real Santa Cruz	3:2

Royal Pari - Real Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide