Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App


	Jorge Wilstermann		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.26	5	9.25
	1.25	5.5	11	Watch
	1.25	5.3	11.39
	1.29	5.1	10.85	Watch
	1.25	5.2	11.1	Watch
	1.25	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)	5.34 ↑ (4.36)	10.58 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jorge Wilstermann
73.7%

Draw
17.5%

Real Santa Cruz
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.5%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jorge Wilstermann's performance.

Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wilstermann will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 19. Saucedo W. 6. Chiatti M. 22. Echeverria S. 17. Bejarano M. 18. Rodriguez C. 7. Mamani J. 71. Lopez L. 11. Caceres A. 8. Bobadilla H. 10. Amaral R.	1. Zamora D. (G) 22. Montero E. 4. Lopez B. 30. Suarez R. 41. Navarro S. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 23. Pozo S. 10. Caicedo J. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 29. Abastoflor C. 7. Moreno B.
Substitutes
39. Barron A. 30. Cardozo R. 13. Gimenez A. (G) 9. Jefferson 28. Pacheco A. 14. Pardo E. 21. Pena A. 25. Robson 36. Rodriguez L. 23. Tellez M. 88. Vargas L.	26. Barrios M. 31. Cardenas I. 17. Lara J. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 39. Malgor G. 18. Mercado A. 11. Navia A. 2. Ruano L. 21. Saldias L. 9. Veizaga J.
Coaches
Villegas E.	Straccia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bobadilla H. ⚽, Amaral R. (A),
20', Vaca Hurtado E. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Bobadilla H. ⚽, Lopez L. (A),
41', Saucedo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Moreno B. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
62', Rueda Bascope S. 🟨,
67', Echeverria S. 🟨,
73', Bobadilla H. 🟨,
74', Poveda B. 🟨,
75', Caicedo J. ↓, Saldias L. ↑,
76', Abastoflor C. ↓, Malgor G. ↑,
76', Rueda Bascope S. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
83', Amaral R. ↓, Vargas L. ↑,
83', Rodriguez C. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
83', Vaca Hurtado E. ↓, Cardenas I. ↑,
87', Caceres A. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
90+2', Bobadilla H. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
90+3', Bejarano M. ↓, Pardo E. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wilstermann won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Wilstermann is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wilstermann won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wilstermann won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.09.24	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTWT
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Real Santa Cruz - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Independiente Petroleros - Real Santa Cruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.05.24	Real Santa Cruz - Jorge Wilstermann	0:2
11.11.23	Real Santa Cruz - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1
13.05.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz	1:0
01.09.22	Real Santa Cruz - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0
19.08.21	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz	5:1
28.03.21	Real Santa Cruz - Jorge Wilstermann	0:2

Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide