Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Real Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Vera G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App


	Real Santa Cruz		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.85	3	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.07	2.49
	2.93	3.04	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.8	3.13	2.43	Watch
	2.85	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)	3.07 ↓ (3.36)	2.46 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Santa Cruz
32.6%

Draw
30%

Nacional Potosí
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (C) 2. Ruano L. 4. Lopez B. 30. Suarez R. 41. Navarro S. 10. Caicedo J. 23. Pozo S. 37. Mendoza G. 20. Vaca Hurtado E. 39. Malgor G. 44. Gonzalez E.	1. Mustafa S. (G) 16. Torrico A. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 21. Ortiz M. 5. Mancilla D. 18. Azogue P. 11. Rojas J. 17. Guerra S. 7. Preciado C. 20. Prost M. (C)
Substitutes
29. Abastoflor C. 16. Ardaya L. 26. Barrios M. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 18. Mercado A. 22. Montero E. 11. Navia A. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 21. Saldias L. 9. Veizaga J.	19. Abrego V. 29. Alvarez W. 15. Andia J. 23. Baldomar O. 13. Cabrera A. 27. Garcia A. 22. Hoyos J. 12. Mejia Mejia J. (G) 30. Paco E. 8. Pavia L.
Coaches
Straccia M.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Prost M. 🟨,
12', Suarez R. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Guerra S. (Pen),
43', Vaca Hurtado E. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Suarez R. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Prost M. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
45+2', Lopez B. 🟨,
45+7', Guerra S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mancilla D. ↓, Andia J. ↑,
46', Navarro S. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Guerra S. ⚽,
53', Malgor G. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
56', 2 - 3, Caicedo J. ⚽,
64', Hoyos J. 🟨,
66', Andia J. 🟨,
71', Mercado A. 🟨,
73', Lopez B. ↓, Montero E. ↑,
73', Rojas J. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
74', Preciado C. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
74', Guerra S. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
83', Prost M. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
83', Demiquel L. 🟨,
84', Caicedo J. 🟨,
88', Pavia L. 🟨,
90', 2 - 4, Alvarez W. ⚽,
90+4', Pozo S. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.2:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.09.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Real Santa Cruz - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTW
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.09.24	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
21.08.24	Nacional Potosí - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
18.05.24	Nacional Potosí - Real Santa Cruz	1:0
18.11.23	Nacional Potosí - Real Santa Cruz	6:0
19.05.23	Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí	2:0
08.10.22	Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí	2:1
26.07.22	Nacional Potosí - Real Santa Cruz	3:1
24.04.22	Real Santa Cruz - Nacional Potosí	3:2
18.02.22	Nacional Potosí - Real Santa Cruz	1:0

Upcoming Matches