Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 7

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Royston Town		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.4	2.35
	2.42	3.64	2.5
	1.65	3.87	4.74	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.67)	3.57 ↑ (3.41)	3.01 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
41.9%

Draw
26.6%

Needham Market
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.5%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royston Town's performance.

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Needham Market might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royston Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Needham Market could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Royston Town - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Iaciofano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Ingram L. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Royston won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Needham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Royston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Royston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Redbridge - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Bishops Stortford - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Royston Town - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Redditch United - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTT
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Barwell - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Needham Market - Leiston	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Needham Market	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Needham Market - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Needham Market - Real Bedford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Needham Market - Royston Town	3:1
28.10.23	Royston Town - Needham Market	0:2
28.01.23	Royston Town - Needham Market	1:0
13.09.22	Needham Market - Royston Town	5:0
05.02.22	Needham Market - Royston Town	2:2
23.11.21	Royston Town - Needham Market	3:3
29.09.20	Needham Market - Royston Town	3:1

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