Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 17

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Worcester City		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.85	4.95
	1.51	4.2	5.41
	1.77	3.88	3.92	Watch
	1.5	3.88	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.8)	3.95 ↑ (3.53)	4.99 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Worcester City
58.3%

Draw
23.2%

Stourbridge
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worcester City's performance.

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stourbridge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worcester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Worcester City - Stourbridge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Worcester (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Worcester City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Worcester City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Worcester (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Belmonte K. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Sutherland Z. (Pen),
45+5', 2 - 1, Sweeney D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 3 - 1, Sweeney D. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Sumnall J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Worcester is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stourbridge is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stourbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worcester is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Worcester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Stamford - Worcester City	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Worcester City - Leiston	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Sudbury Town - Worcester City	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Stratford Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Real Bedford - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Needham Market - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
10.09.25	Stourbridge - Worcester City	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.18	Worcester City - Stourbridge	1:3

Upcoming Matches