Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Shakhtyor Taganrog		Rubin Yalta

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.78	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.05)	3.78 ↑ (3.2)	4.64 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Taganrog
55.7%

Draw
24.4%

Rubin Yalta
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhtyor Taganrog's performance.

Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Yalta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Taganrog than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shakhtyor Taganrog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Yalta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shakhtyor Taganrog - Rubin Yalta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Polyakh D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd and 5th).

Shakhtyor Taganrog is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Rubin Yalta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Shakhtyor Taganrog carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Shakhtyor Taganrog in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shahter Taganrog	25	15	5	5	47:25	22	50
5	Rubin Yalta	24	11	7	6	35:24	11	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtyor Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
19.09.26	Rostov 2 - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Chayka 2	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Zarya - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWW
- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
22.09.26	FC Sevastopol - Rubin Yalta	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kyzyltash - Rubin Yalta	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWW

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