Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Rubin Yalta		Chayka 2

	1	X	2
	1.54	4.14	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.89)	4.14 ↑ (3.8)	5.35 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Yalta
60.2%

Draw
22.4%

Chayka 2
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Yalta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rubin Yalta's performance.

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rubin Yalta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Polyakh D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Biryukov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 3 - 0, Dzanelidze B. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, Purak V. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th and 13th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Rubin Yalta has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Chayka 2 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Rubin Yalta carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rubin Yalta	24	11	7	6	35:24	11	40
14	FK Chayka 2	25	5	2	18	23:57	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
26.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
22.09.26	FC Sevastopol - Rubin Yalta	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kyzyltash - Rubin Yalta	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Rubin Yalta - Druzhba Maykop	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWW
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
26.09.26	Chayka 2 - Kyzyltash	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Chayka 2 - Zarya	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Chayka 2	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chayka 2 - Rostov 2	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLW

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