Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 11

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Rubio Ñu		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.6
	2.02	3.1	3.5
	2.27	3.01	3.6
	2.01	3.23	3.56	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	2.08	3.45	3.35
	2.02	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)	3.17 ↓ (3.5)	3.84 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
46.7%

Draw
29.2%

Independiente Asuncion
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubio Ñu's form might have worsened.

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubio Ñu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rubio Ñu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubio Ñu: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rubio Ñu (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Mereles D. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Garcete F. ⚽,
45+1', Torres A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 3 - 0, Ramos M. ⚽,
83', Borja E. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.

Rubio Ñu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente FBC is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rubio Ñu is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
25.05.25	Sol de América - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
20.05.25	Rubio Ñu - Fernando de la Mora	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Encarnación - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Rubio Ñu - 12 de Junio	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTT
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.08.24	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:1
09.10.23	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:2
30.06.23	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	2:2
19.09.22	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	1:0
13.06.22	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:1
16.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0
09.08.19	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	1:0

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