Match Info

CROATIA: Croatian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: SC Rudes (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go


	Rudeš		Istra 1961

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.66
	4.6	3.6	1.71
	4.45	3.84	1.67
	4.39	3.82	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.57
	5	3.62	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.76)	3.63 ↓ (4.5)	1.66 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudeš
19.8%

Draw
25.2%

Istra 1961
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.5%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

19.5%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudeš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rudeš's performance.

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Istra 1961 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudeš than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rudeš that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Istra 1961 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rudeš - Istra 1961 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lukic L. I. (G) 4. Baltic T. (C) 5. Batarelo I. 20. Brajkovic R. 21. Cuic P. 14. Gubijan L. 17. Kruslin V. 7. Maruzin L. 9. Matic T. 6. Srbljinovic T. 13. Vukmanovic V.	1. Coric M. (G) 16. Bogdan L. 75. Filet E. 29. Gagua G. 20. Iovu I. 97. Kadusic A. 17. Keller S. 31. Lekoueiry B. 8. Mauric A. 71. Poko A. 36. Ramic I.
Substitutes
44. Djira M. 40. Josipovic R. (G) 88. Jovanovic D. 23. Masala R. 27. Pasaricek L. 24. Resetar D. 22. Stipic M. 30. Tomecak I. 26. Zutic I.	7. Blagojevic S. 27. Calusic I. 77. Cuic M. 26. Heister M. 5. Koski V. 11. Lisica M. 4. Maresic D. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 23. Valincic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Gagua G. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Lekoueiry B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Srbljinovic T. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Bogdan L. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rudeš won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Istra 1961 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Istra 1961 is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Rudeš won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:20 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Rudeš won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rudeš
Croatian Prva NL
26.10.24	Rudeš - Cibalia	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rudeš - Dugopolje	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Zrinski Osječko - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Rudeš - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Orijent - Rudeš	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWT
- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
27.10.24	Gorica - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Istra 1961 - Osijek	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Šibenik - Istra 1961	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Varaždin - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
03.05.24	Rudeš - Istra 1961	1:3
24.02.24	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	2:1
11.11.23	Rudeš - Istra 1961	0:4
27.08.23	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	0:0
Croatian Cup
08.11.22	Rudeš - Istra 1961	2:1
Croatian HNL
24.05.19	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	2:0
04.04.19	Rudeš - Istra 1961	1:0

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