Match Info

HNL - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	18:00	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Istra 1961		Osijek

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7
	2.6	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.62	3.05	2.68
	2.84	3.15	2.69
	2.52	3.13	2.88	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.63
	2.69	3.03	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)	2.73 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
35%

Draw
30.6%

Osijek
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

24.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Istra 1961 - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Osijek will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Istra 1961 (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Istra 1961 (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (G) 97. Kadusic A. 38. Kumar R. 16. Miettinen S. 13. Sepic N. 5. Radosevic J. (C) 23. Stulac L. 17. Frederiksen E. 8. Mauric A. 10. Loncar S. 9. Prevljak S.	31. Malenica M. (C) 29. Karacic F. 26. Jelenic L. 49. Kolarik I. 22. Jurisic R. 8. Mikolcic S. 21. Bubanja V. 39. Bukvic D. 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 57. Akere S. 17. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
77. Agada C. 20. Ahmeti D. 25. Albarracin G. 18. Ayuma I. 32. Celija D. 11. Gorican S. 26. Heister M. 44. Hrvatin R. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 7. Rozic V. 30. Skafar Zuzic N. 24. Taraba F.	38. Colina D. 1. Curcija N. (G) 36. Dedic J. 98. Jovicic M. 34. Matkovic A. 5. Mersinaj J. 11. Omerovic N. 16. Petrusenko O. 42. Renan Guedes 99. Teklic T.
Coaches
Riera O.	Radotic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bubanja V. 🟨,
42', Mikolcic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bukvic D. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
46', Mikolcic S. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
54', Kolarik I. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽,
63', Akere S. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
63', Kolarik I. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
67', Mauric A. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
67', Frederiksen E. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
72', Rozic V. 🟨,
74', Miettinen S. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
74', Loncar S. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
76', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
79', Kadusic A. 🟨,
84', Stulac L. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
85', Jakupovic A. ↓, Colina D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.

Istra 1961 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Osijek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Istra 1961: Nasraoui M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N. (Inactive) Hasic E. (Yellow Cards) Shopov S. (Knee Injury) Toure Y. (Inactive) Vrbancic L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Osijek: Barisic B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Osijek	11	5	2	4	19:16	3	17
6	Istra 1961	11	3	4	4	19:18	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Osijek - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
27.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Istra 1961 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
28.02.26	Osijek - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Osijek - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Osijek - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.12.25	Osijek - Istra 1961	1:5
21.09.25	Istra 1961 - Osijek	2:1
25.05.25	Osijek - Istra 1961	1:1
29.03.25	Istra 1961 - Osijek	2:1
20.12.24	Osijek - Istra 1961	2:2
04.10.24	Istra 1961 - Osijek	2:1
20.04.24	Osijek - Istra 1961	1:2

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