The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slaven Belupo 34.6%
Draw 29.1%
Varaždin 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
29.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
30.9%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Slaven Belupo - Varaždin Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Sentic K. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 4. Kovacic D. 5. Cvetko I. 77. Urata I. 23. Jonsson A. 21. Crepulja L. (C) 11. Mitrovic J. 22. Adeshina A. 8. Banovec L. 90. Nestorovski I.
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 13. Mladenovski M. 4. Skaricic L. 20. Sikosek G. 24. Marina M. (C) 28. Canjuga I. 10. Latkovic A. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 17. Mamut I.
Substitutes
13. Bilobrk A. 88. Bosak D. 24. Bosnjak L. 32. Covic I. (G) 7. Dabro M. 16. Geci L. 27. Grgic A. 99. Kutlesa F. 29. Loncar L. 28. Maric P. 45. Papac V. 20. Petrovic M.
12. Bockaj P. 8. Duvnjak T. 9. Juric S. 5. Lesjak S. 18. Paizinho 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 6. Puclin D. 16. Tepsic N. 11. Uchegbu E. 7. Vuk M. 1. Zelenika O. (G)
Coaches
Gregurina M.
Safaric N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
19', Skaricic L. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Canjuga I. ⚽, Sikosek G. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Mamic L. ⚽, Sikosek G. (A),
29', Skaricic L. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
44', 0 - 3, Latkovic A. ⚽, Mamut I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jonsson A. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
46', Adeshina A. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
69', Marina M. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
69', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
69', Maglica F. ↓, Posinkovic L. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Dabro M. (A),
78', 1 - 4, Canjuga I. ⚽, Vuk M. (A),
82', Kovacic D. 🟨,
83', Mitrovic J. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
83', Crepulja L. ↓, Bosak D. ↑,
85', Tavares I. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
90+2', Banovec L. ↓, Maric P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 2.
Slaven Belupo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Varaždin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Varaždin has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic T.
(Inactive)
Caimacov M.
(Hip Injury)
Grgic A.
(Injury)
Isasegi K.
(Inactive)
Zuta L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Varazdin
8
4
3
1
13:7
6
15
8
Slaven Belupo
8
2
1
5
7:16
-9
7
Last Results with these Odds
Varaždin - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.