Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Runcorn Linnets		Buxton

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.65
	4.15	3.8	1.7
	4.34	4.33	1.65
	4.69	3.00	1.89	Watch
	4.2	3.84	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.66)	3.75 ↑ (3.63)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Runcorn Linnets
21.5%

Draw
24.7%

Buxton
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Runcorn Linnets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Runcorn Linnets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Runcorn Linnets - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 1, Brennan L. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Runcorn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buxton is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Buxton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buxton is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Runcorn Linnets
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Runcorn Linnets - Morpeth Town	1:2 penalties ✺
04.10.25	Runcorn Linnets - Bury	7:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Ashton United - Runcorn Linnets	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Runcorn Linnets - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Pickering Town - Runcorn Linnets	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWTW
- Buxton FC
English National League North
04.10.25	Buxton - Darlington	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Marine - Buxton	2:3 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Buxton - Redditch United	3:0 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWW

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