Match Info
FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finalsDate: 27 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Rossett Park (Crosby)
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Marine |
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Buxton |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marine 36.1% | Draw 26.7% | Buxton 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Marine - Buxton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Sodje T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, Hunter A. (Pen),
- 71', 2 - 1, Newell G. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 2, Campbell ⚽,
- 85', 2 - 3, Sodje T. (Pen),
Preview
Replayed if draw.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marine won 3.Marine is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Buxton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Marine won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.6:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Marine won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.6:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Marine - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Buxton - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;