Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Buxton

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4.33
	1.62	3.7	4.85
	1.68	3.69	4.96
	1.29	5.04	10.15	Watch
	1.65	3.74	4.8
	1.56	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.99 ↓ (4.05)	5.67 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

Buxton
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.7%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Morgan-Smith A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Brennan L. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Willoughby K. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Bardell M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2.

Kidderminster is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buxton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kidderminster is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Cup
13.09.25	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	King`s Lynn Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Leamington	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW
- Buxton FC
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Buxton - Redditch United	3:0 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	South Shields - Buxton	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.04.25	Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
02.11.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:2
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:0
28.09.24	Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
English National League North
07.04.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	1:0
27.09.22	Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1

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