Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Buxton		Redditch United

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.65	5.9
	1.41	4.92	5.27
	1.60	3.68	5.66	Watch
	1.53	4.44	5.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	4.4 ↑ (4.3)	5.61 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
62.7%

Draw
20.9%

Redditch United
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Redditch United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Buxton - Redditch United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Redditch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Buxton is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
06.09.25	Buxton - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	South Shields - Buxton	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	AFC Telford United - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTLW
- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Stamford - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Real Bedford - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Redditch United - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Leiston - Redditch United	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Redditch United - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLT

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