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Current Win Probability
Rushall Olympic 31.6%
Draw 25.8%
Needham Market 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
25.2%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
24.5%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Rushall Olympic - Needham Market Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Yates L. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Corbett L. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Okuonghae O. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Ingram L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 4 - 1, Yates L. ⚽,
53', 4 - 2, Pearce L. ⚽,
83', Morphew D. 🟥,
84', 5 - 2, McAlinden L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 5 - 3, Pearce L. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rushall won 3.
Rushall has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Needham shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rushall could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Needham has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rushall has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rushall against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Rushall: 1.36% Needham Market: 0.61%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Rushall
10
6
0
4
21:17
4
18
9
Needham Market
9
4
1
4
18:16
2
13
Last Results with these Odds
Rushall Olympic - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Needham Market - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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