Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Poladi Stadium (Rustavi)


	Rustavi		Gonio

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.35	5.5
	1.42	4.46	5.53
	1.54	3.99	5.33	Watch
	1.43	4.4	6.14
	1.42	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)	5.7 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rustavi
62.5%

Draw
21.6%

Gonio
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

17.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rustavi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Rustavi - Gonio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Rustavi (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Rustavi (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Rustavi (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rustavi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Shovnadze L. (G) 2. Andghuladze S. 20. Dobranskyi D. 4. Guilherme Silva 14. Jalaghonia G. 22. Nakano Y. 8. Kakashvili K. 40. Ubilava D. 17. Jibril B. 10. Osei P. 9. Jean	33. Takidze R. (G) 16. Kasrelishvili J. 5. Samsonia D. 35. Kasradze L. 27. Chachua R. 6. Mamasakhlisi O. 38. Renato Luis 8. Gazdeliani G. 12. Ingorokva L. 9. Abuselidze T. 10. Apkhazava G.
Substitutes
21. Beruashvili P. (G) 32. Chkheidze G. 5. Chokheli L. 23. Devidze A. 28. Guliashvili T. 18. Japaridze N. 11. Kessi S. 3. Patsatsia V. 6. Sichinava Z.	17. Beridze Z. 7. Kakhabrishvili K. 40. Karuuombe T. 19. Kotlyarov Y. (G) 37. Twickenham M. 15. Verulidze J. 39. Vinicius Belotti

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Abuselidze T. ↓, Beridze Z. ↑,
60', Jalaghonia G. 🟨,
67', Jalaghonia G. ↓, Chkheidze G. ↑,
74', Ingorokva L. ↓, Karuuombe T. ↑,
74', Renato Luis ↓, Vinicius Belotti ↑,
76', Nakano Y. ↓, Japaridze N. ↑,
76', Jibril B. ↓, Kessi S. ↑,
90+2', Vinicius Belotti 🟨,
90+2', Kakashvili K. 🟨,
90+2', Apkhazava G. ↓, Twickenham M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Dobranskyi D. ⚽,
90+5', Andghuladze S. ↓, Patsatsia V. ↑,
90+5', Jean ↓, Chokheli L. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Rustavi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gonio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rustavi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rustavi is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rustavi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rustavi
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Rustavi - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Rustavi - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	3:2 ✺
11.09.25	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Samtredia - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- FC Gonio
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
20.09.25	Merani Martvili - Gonio	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Gonio - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Gonio	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Gonio	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Gonio - Spaeri	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
04.08.25	Gonio - Rustavi	1:2
24.04.25	Rustavi - Gonio	2:2

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