Match Info

Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Ruthin Town		Newtown

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.7	2.42
	2.28	4.09	2.45
	2.39	3.76	2.59	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.4
	2.28	3.88	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.47)	3.84 ↑ (3.83)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
39.4%

Draw
23.6%

Newtown
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

23.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

22.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruthin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Ruthin Town - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Mills-Evans K. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Holland D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Clark A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Jones T. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 2 - 3, Holland D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Ruthin Town is Relegated to

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Newtown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ruthin Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18:3	15	22
12	Ruthin	10	2	2	6	9:20	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Llandudno - Ruthin Town	5:2 ✺
20.03.26	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Ruthin Town - Flint Mountain	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Mold Alexandra - Ruthin Town	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rhyl - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
11.04.26	Newtown - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Holywell Town - Newtown	6:0 ✺
03.04.26	Newtown - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Newtown - Rhyl	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
25.07.25	Newtown - Ruthin Town	3:0

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