Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Štadión pod Čebraťom (Ružomberok)

Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	MAXtv To Go
Slovakia	STVR2


	Ružomberok		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.7	3.57	1.82
	4.35	3.66	1.78	Watch
	4.61	3.58	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (5.57)	3.59 ↓ (4.05)	1.76 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ružomberok
21%

Draw
25.9%

Hajduk Split
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

22.6%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.5%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ružomberok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ružomberok than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ružomberok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	6.7%	83.3%

Ružomberok - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Fruhwald T. (G) 22. Gabriel S. 32. Maly M. 2. Mojzis A. 19. Gomola M. 11. Lavrincik S. 4. Luteran O. 23. Madlenak M. 14. Hladik J. 8. Domonkos K. 30. Chrien M. (C)	13. Lucic I. (G) 18. Moufi F. 25. Uremovic F. 3. Prpic D. 17. Melnjak D. 7. Kalik A. 23. Krovinovic F. 21. Pukstas R. 24. Sanyang A. 10. Livaja M. (C) 77. Sahiti E.
Substitutes
18. Boda M. 5. Bozik R. 20. Chobot M. 15. Gerec S. 13. Jackuliak D. 26. Kelemen M. 3. Maslo J. 6. Mudry T. 35. Sokol B. (G) 24. Szolgai M.	39. Antunovic M. 28. Brajkovic R. 34. Durdov B. 19. Elez J. 32. Hrgovic S. 91. Kalinic L. (G) 4. Perisic I. 11. Rakitic I. 8. Sigur N. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 9. Trajkovski A.
Coaches
Smetana O.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sanyang A. ↓, Perisic I. ↑,
61', Kalik A. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
68', Hladik J. ↓, Boda M. ↑,
74', Domonkos K. ↓, Chobot M. ↑,
74', Luteran O. ↓, Mudry T. ↑,
74', Livaja M. ↓, Rakitic I. ↑,
74', Sahiti E. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
85', Madlenak M. ↓, Kelemen M. ↑,
87', Uremovic F. 🟨,
88', Pukstas R. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Ružomberok is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hajduk is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ružomberok could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hajduk is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ružomberok
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Trabzonspor - Ružomberok	1:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
28.07.24	Ružomberok - Dukla Banská Bystrica	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Ružomberok - Trabzonspor	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Tobol Kostanay - Ružomberok	1:0 ✺
11.07.24	Ružomberok - Tobol Kostanay	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
04.08.24	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	HB Tórshavn - Hajduk Split	0:0 ✺
25.07.24	Hajduk Split - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Fenerbahçe - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
09.07.24	Rukh Lviv - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWW

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