Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Tórsvøllur (Torshavn)

Referee: Marshall T. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV


	HB Tórshavn		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.48	Watch
	6.25	4.4	1.42
	5.5	4.5	1.5
	6	4.47	1.51
	5.98	4.58	1.47	Watch
	6.24	4.55	1.46	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↓ (7.57)	4.44 ↓ (4.53)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Tórshavn
15.8%

Draw
21%

Hajduk Split
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

20.3%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

19.6%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Tórshavn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Tórshavn than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

HB Tórshavn - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. HB Tórshavn will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Hajduk will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gestsson T. (C) 27. Voss M. 28. Chukwudi S. 3. Davidsen V. 22. Jonsson A. 7. Sorensen H. 21. Mouritsen E. 8. Skytte S. 12. Samba M. 19. Dahl M. 10. Samuelsen A.	13. Lucic I. (G) 18. Moufi F. 25. Uremovic F. 31. Sarlija Z. 5. Diallo I. 21. Pukstas R. 26. Capan M. 23. Krovinovic F. 24. Sanyang A. 10. Livaja M. (C) 7. Kalik A.
Substitutes
20. Dam A. 11. Duah E. 14. Elmarsson J. 30. Guttesen L. 5. Mneney N. 13. Nilsson R. (G) 18. Reynheim D. 23. Thomsen J.	39. Antunovic M. 40. Buljan B. (G) 34. Durdov B. 19. Elez J. 32. Hrgovic S. 35. Jurak L. 91. Kalinic L. (G) 17. Melnjak D. 4. Perisic I. 3. Prpic D. 11. Rakitic I. 37. Skoko N.
Coaches
Sormani A.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Capan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Dahl M. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
62', Kalik A. 🟨,
62', Kalik A. ↓, Perisic I. ↑,
66', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
67', Samba M. ↓, Guttesen L. ↑,
70', Capan M. ↓, Rakitic I. ↑,
70', Sanyang A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
78', Mouritsen E. ↓, Mneney N. ↑,
81', Mneney N. 🟨,
90+1', Pukstas R. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tórsvøllur. 1st leg result: 0-2.

HB Tórshavn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hajduk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Hajduk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HB Tórshavn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Tórshavn
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hajduk Split - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
04.07.24	Víkingur Gøta - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
28.06.24	B68 Toftir - HB Tórshavn	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	HB Tórshavn - KÍ Klaksvík	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	07 Vestur - HB Tórshavn	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Hajduk Split
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hajduk Split - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Fenerbahçe - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
09.07.24	Rukh Lviv - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Radomlje - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Hajduk Split - HB Tórshavn	2:0

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