Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Hajduk Split		Ajax

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.50	1.42
	5.50	4.50	1.46
	6.10	4.60	1.48
	6.32	4.80	1.46
	6.2	4.74	1.45	Watch
	6.40	4.90	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↓ (6.2)	4.67 ↓ (4.74)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hajduk Split
15.5%

Draw
20%

Ajax
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

19.9%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

22.7%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Hajduk Split - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Ajax holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Ajax: 5.57% Hajduk Split: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
20.09.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.09.26	Vardarac Vardaroc - Hajduk Split	0:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
06.09.26	Rudeš - Hajduk Split	0:4 ✺
31.08.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.26	Ajax - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Ajax - Willem II	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Telstar - Ajax	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW

Upcoming Matches