Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Štadión pod Čebraťom (Ružomberok) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Armenia	20:30	1TV
Slovakia	18:30	STVR Sport


	Ružomberok		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.55
	2.45	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.58	3.37	2.74
	2.51	3.43	2.66	Watch
	2.64	3.41	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.17)	3.47 ↓ (3.87)	2.63 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ružomberok
37.5%

Draw
26.9%

Noah Yerevan
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

24.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ružomberok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ružomberok's form might have worsened.

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ružomberok than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ružomberok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	33.3%	13.3%

Ružomberok - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ružomberok will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Noah will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ružomberok: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Fruhwald T. (G) 22. Gabriel S. 32. Maly M. 2. Mojzis A. 19. Gomola M. 11. Lavrincik S. 4. Luteran O. 28. Selecky A. 14. Hladik J. 30. Chrien M. (C) 20. Chobot M.	22. Cancarevic O. (G) 26. Miljkovic A. (C) 37. Silva G. 28. Pablo 4. Thorarinsson G. 20. Gambos M. 17. Sangare G. 81. Oulad Omar I. 7. Ferreira H. 8. Gregorio G. 93. Pinson V.
Substitutes
18. Boda M. 8. Domonkos K. 15. Gerec S. 13. Jackuliak D. 26. Kelemen M. 23. Madlenak M. 3. Maslo J. 6. Mudry T. 35. Sokol B. (G) 24. Szolgai M. 1. Tapaj D. (G) 17. Tucny A.	18. Avanesyan A. 11. Cinari E. 10. Dashyan A. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 9. Matheus Aias 14. Mendoza B. 3. Muradyan S. 30. Petrosyan G. 92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G)
Coaches
Smetana O.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Luteran O. ⚽,
13', Hladik J. 🟨,
40', Oulad Omar I. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Hladik J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Miljkovic A. 🟨,
57', Pablo 🟨,
62', Gambos M. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
62', Oulad Omar I. ↓, Dashyan A. ↑,
64', Dashyan A. 🟨,
64', Gomola M. 🟨,
66', Chobot M. ↓, Boda M. ↑,
66', Gomola M. ↓, Domonkos K. ↑,
70', Cancarevic O. 🟨,
70', Pablo 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Boda M. (Pen),
76', Gregorio G. ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
76', Ferreira H. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
81', Selecky A. ↓, Madlenak M. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
90+2', Dashyan A. ↓, Muradyan S. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Recent matches Ružomberok is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noah is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ružomberok won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ružomberok
Slovak Superliga
25.08.24	Ružomberok - Zemplín Michalovce	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.24	Noah Yerevan - Ružomberok	3:0 ✺
15.08.24	Hajduk Split - Ružomberok	0:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
11.08.24	Ružomberok - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Ružomberok - Hajduk Split	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 TLWWT
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
25.08.24	BKMA Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.24	Noah Yerevan - Ružomberok	3:0 ✺
15.08.24	AEK Athens - Noah Yerevan	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
11.08.24	Shirak Gyumri - Noah Yerevan	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.24	Noah Yerevan - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.24	Noah Yerevan - Ružomberok	3:0

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