Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium (Okinawa)

Referee: Kawamata S. (Jpn)


	Ryūkyū		Blaublitz Akita

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.95	2.95
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.32	2.95	3.1
	2.43	3.04	3.41
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.38	3.02	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
39.3%

Draw
31.2%

Blaublitz Akita
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blaublitz Akita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryūkyū that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blaublitz Akita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Ryūkyū - Blaublitz Akita Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ryūkyū: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
27.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Ryūkyū - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Ryūkyū	5:2 ✺
30.07.22	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TTWLW
- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
28.08.22	Blaublitz Akita - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Blaublitz Akita	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.05.22	Blaublitz Akita - Ryūkyū	2:1
28.08.21	Ryūkyū - Blaublitz Akita	2:1
05.06.21	Blaublitz Akita - Ryūkyū	1:1

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