Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.75	3.7	4.1
	1.83	3.5	3.9
	1.88	3.79	4.15
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.82	3.74	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	3.58 ↑ (3.22)	4.04 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
51.1%

Draw
25.9%

Ryūkyū
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ryūkyū could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mito HollyHock is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
23.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWT
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
20.08.22	Ryūkyū - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	Ventforet Kofu - Ryūkyū	5:2 ✺
30.07.22	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Tokushima Vortis - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.03.22	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	1:2
14.08.21	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	0:1
11.04.21	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	0:2
16.12.20	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	0:2
19.09.20	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	3:2
21.07.19	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	3:1
11.05.19	Ryūkyū - Mito HollyHock	1:0

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