Match Info

J3 League - Round 18

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Gifu

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
				Watch
	3.48	3.29	2.11
				Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.39	3.2	2.04	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.4)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	2.14 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
28.5%

Draw
28.7%

Gifu
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryūkyū's form might have worsened.

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gifu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryūkyū, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gifu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryūkyū - Gifu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 55. Koki Y. 24. Sato Y. 20. Nagai S. 18. Hiramatsu S. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 89. Takagi D.	31. Serantes J. (G) 40. Hirase D. 4. Kai K. 37. Terasaka S. 22. Mun In-Ju 23. Hagino K. 10. Kita R. 55. Toyama R. 7. Nakamura J. 27. Yokoyama T. 11. Sasaki K.
Substitutes
17. Einaga T. 39. Ihara A. 8. Iwabuchi R. 13. Iwamoto S. 5. Kamiya K. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 19. Sato M. 23. Sota K.	9. Dudu 28. Hakozaki T. 5. Ishida R. 39. Izumisawa J. 1. Mogi S. (G) 3. Nozawa R. 26. Ogushi S. 14. Oiji Y. 32. Owie W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Araki R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Yokoyama T. 🟨,
56', Suzuki J. 🟨,
64', Takagi D. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
64', Sato Y. ↓, Iwamoto S. ↑,
67', Nagai S. 🟨,
73', Nakamura J. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
73', Sasaki K. ↓, Dudu ↑,
76', Koki Y. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Sota K. ⚽, Iwamoto S. (A),
82', Yokoyama T. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
82', Kita R. ↓, Hakozaki T. ↑,
84', Nagai S. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
84', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
87', Hakozaki T. 🟨,
89', Mun In-Ju ↓, Nozawa R. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 0.

Ryūkyū has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gifu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gifu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Gifu	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Kagoshima United - Gifu	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Gifu - Kochi United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Ryūkyū - Gifu	0:2
02.06.24	Gifu - Ryūkyū	2:2
24.11.23	Ryūkyū - Gifu	0:1
01.04.23	Gifu - Ryūkyū	3:1
Japan J2 League
31.08.19	Ryūkyū - Gifu	1:2
05.05.19	Gifu - Ryūkyū	2:1

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