Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arsenal 2 Tula		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	6.15	3.58	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (4.56)	3.58 ↑ (3.04)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
15.1%

Draw
25.9%

Ryazan
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

29.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

27.2%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal 2 Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryazan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
11', 0 - 1, Evgenjev E. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Kotov A. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Pogrebnev N. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 4, Evgenjev E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 5, Khokhlov D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 2.

Arsenal 2 Tula is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ryazan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ryazan is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal 2 Tula won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ryazan	26	15	8	3	47:15	32	53
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1 ✺
06.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
04.07.26	Ryazan - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Ryazan	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Ryazan - Volna Kovernino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
03.04.26	Ryazan - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0
11.10.25	Ryazan - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1
22.06.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	0:3
11.08.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	3:2
28.04.24	Ryazan - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:2
29.10.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	2:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	1:0

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