Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 3

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.18	Watch
	3.29	3.5	2.12
	3.08	3.54	2.17	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.3
	2.86	3.33	2.39	Watch
	3.33	3.33	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
30.7%

Draw
27.4%

Sagan Tosu
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tegevajaro Miyazaki (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tosu (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 8. Rikiyasu S. 5. Watanabe E. 82. Sakai S. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Toshida Y.	1. Izumori R. (G) 26. Ando T. 3. Kamiyama K. 33. Ogawa S. 20. Toyoda A. 2. Matsumoto N. 16. Nishizawa K. 18. Hyon R. 22. Yuba K. 15. Sakai N. 7. Sakamoto K.
Substitutes
15. Abe T. 40. Ando R. 7. Ano M. 34. Kawai T. 42. Matsumoto K. 30. Mochizuki K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 58. Take H. 25. Yokokubo K.	76. Isotani S. 13. Jojo K. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 14. Sakaiya K. 6. Sakurai T. 88. Shiohama R. 19. Suzuki D. 29. Tanaka Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Nishizawa K. ⚽, Hyon R. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Sakai S. ⚽, Inoue R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matsumoto N. ↓, Sakurai T. ↑,
62', Sakai N. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
62', Sakamoto K. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
65', Sakai S. ↓, Ano M. ↑,
65', Rikiyasu S. ↓, Take H. ↑,
69', Hyon R. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
77', Ano M. 🟨,
80', Toshida Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
80', Inoue R. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
82', Shiohama R. 🟨,
86', Yuba K. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Watanabe E. ⚽, Shimokawa Y. (A),

Preview

Tosu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 J3 League
15.02.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gainare Tottori	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.12.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fukushima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
15.02.26	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Ryūkyū - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fujieda MYFC - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	5:1

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